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There is an eerily prophetic work by the high-ranking Eastern European military defector Golitsyn called "The Perestroika Deception"[1] in which he says that Pe

There is an eerily prophetic work by the high-ranking Eastern European military defector Golitsyn called "The Perestroika Deception"[1] in which he says that Perestroika is a strategic retreat because the Soviets know they are too far behind technologically to have any hope of defeating the west. They will however use that retreat to acquire modern technology and improve their economy so they can ultimately conquer the west. Only one analyst, J.R Nyquist has been taking this stuff seriously, and he was ignored. In fact, the idea that Russia could rise from the ashes was considered paranoid right-wing conspiracy for much of the last 30 years. He has been pretty prescient about the war in Ukraine and developments in Russia over the last 20 years. They have rearmed and have some crazy weapons now like the hypersonic missiles[2] that we have no defense against and the Poseidon system[3] which is a 100mt radioactive tsunami fully autonomous doomsday weapon designed to foil any attempt by the west to win a nuclear war with anti-ballistic missile technilogy. [1] https://www.amazon.com/Perestroika-Deception-Memoranda-Central-Intelligence/dp/1899798005/ https://www.amazon.com/Perestroika-Deception-Memoranda-Centr... [2] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kh-47M2_Kinzhal https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kh-47M2_Kinzhal [3] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Status-6_Oceanic_Multipurpose_System https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Status-6_Oceanic_Multipurpos...

jemmyw 4y ago
≥ Poseidon system[3] which is a 100mt radioactive tsunami fully autonomous doomsday weapon No where on that page does it say it is automated or carries 100mt. The only place it mentions tsunami is where it discredits the idea this weapon could cause one.
- somenameforme 4y ago
  It says both of those things... - 100 megaton: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Status-6_Oceanic_Multipurpose_System#Specifications https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Status-6_Oceanic_Multipurpos... - automated: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Status-6_Oceanic_Multipurpose_System#Launch_platforms https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Status-6_Oceanic_Multipurpos... The part about it somehow discrediting the idea that detonating a nuclear weapon under the ocean would cause a tsunami is why it's often a good idea to check sources, and not take Wikipedia at face value. From the source they cite: https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-doomsday-weapon-submarine-nuke-2018-4 https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-doomsday-weapon-subma... "A well-placed nuclear weapon of yield in the range 20 MT to 50 MT near a sea coast could certainly couple enough energy to equal the 2011 tsunami, and perhaps much more," Rex Richardson, a physicist who researches nuclear weapons, told Business Insider in March, referring to the Tohoku earthquake and tsunami that killed more than 15,000 people in Japan. "Taking advantage of the rising-sea-floor amplification effect, tsunami waves reaching 100 meters in height" — about 330 feet — "are possible," he said."
  - lostlogin 4y ago
    If the point is to kill people, a 20-50MT weapon killing just 15,000 people is a pretty dismal failure. The 16kT Hiroshima attack killed about 100,000. We don’t need more inventive ways of killing people, we have plenty of options already.
lostlogin 4y ago
Thanks. That’s an almost like a sci-fi plot. It doesn’t fit from my lay perspective though. Putins miracle weapons seems like Hitlers - a PR exercise for the masses. The performance of the Russian military has been so pathetic it’s surely caused huge rethinks in many quarters.
jabl 4y ago
> "The Perestroika Deception"[1] in which he says that Perestroika is a strategic retreat because the Soviets know they are too far behind technologically to have any hope of defeating the west. They will however use that retreat to acquire modern technology and improve their economy so they can ultimately conquer the west. Such generations lasting grand conspiracies just sound too fanciful to take seriously. I think the simpler explanation is that, yes, like the communists before him, Putin is a Russian imperialist. And rumor has it that Putin hates the communists with a fiery passion, for screwing up the grand Russian empire. Putin is doing his best to rekindle the empire, just using a more traditional authoritarian/fascist approach rather than relying on communist ideology. Much of the old ways of working, the propaganda, supporting all kinds of nutjob groups in foreign countries, etc etc., 'maskirovka' if you like, dating back to tsarist times, continued through the communist era and is still a tool in the arsenal they use. No change here. As for doomsday weapons with no defense against them, they have existed since the 1960'ies or so in the guise of ICBM's.
- somenameforme 4y ago
  ICBMs can, at least in theory, be countered by effective anti-ballistic defense systems. The point of the 'tsunami nukes' is to sidestep that defense.
  - lostlogin 4y ago
    I think this thing of theirs is supposed to beat the current systems as Mach 10 is fast. It seems to be getting though in Ukraine but I am not an expert and Russia makes all sorts of claims. If it’s weapons work, it would be beating it’s smaller neighbour. https://www.wsj.com/articles/russias-hypersonic-missile-strikes-on-ukraine-raise-stakes-for-new-weapons-ea3b2e15 https://www.wsj.com/articles/russias-hypersonic-missile-stri...
    - narrator 4y ago
      I think Russia knows that this is a war with NATO for world hegemony and it is going to last a very long time. Maybe a decade or more. Thus, what's the best way to conserve resources and deplete the enemy? Just sit in defensive positions with good logistics and shell while the Ukranians send more and more cannon fodder and the west slowly runs out of armaments. Eventually, they'll send the polish recruits. Then they'll send the rest of Europe, and finally American troops. That's why Russia is going slowly here and not getting out over their skis with the advance. I think China was supposed to not back Russia, but they reneged on the deal. That's the critical thing that went wrong with the western war effort and why Russia's economy did not collapse as was expected.

jemmyw 4y ago

≥ Poseidon system[3] which is a 100mt radioactive tsunami fully autonomous doomsday weapon No where on that page does it say it is automated or carries 100mt. The only place it mentions tsunami is where it discredits the idea this weapon could cause one.

somenameforme 4y ago
It says both of those things... - 100 megaton: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Status-6_Oceanic_Multipurpose_System#Specifications https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Status-6_Oceanic_Multipurpos... - automated: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Status-6_Oceanic_Multipurpose_System#Launch_platforms https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Status-6_Oceanic_Multipurpos... The part about it somehow discrediting the idea that detonating a nuclear weapon under the ocean would cause a tsunami is why it's often a good idea to check sources, and not take Wikipedia at face value. From the source they cite: https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-doomsday-weapon-submarine-nuke-2018-4 https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-doomsday-weapon-subma... "A well-placed nuclear weapon of yield in the range 20 MT to 50 MT near a sea coast could certainly couple enough energy to equal the 2011 tsunami, and perhaps much more," Rex Richardson, a physicist who researches nuclear weapons, told Business Insider in March, referring to the Tohoku earthquake and tsunami that killed more than 15,000 people in Japan. "Taking advantage of the rising-sea-floor amplification effect, tsunami waves reaching 100 meters in height" — about 330 feet — "are possible," he said."
- lostlogin 4y ago
  If the point is to kill people, a 20-50MT weapon killing just 15,000 people is a pretty dismal failure. The 16kT Hiroshima attack killed about 100,000. We don’t need more inventive ways of killing people, we have plenty of options already.

lostlogin 4y ago

Thanks. That’s an almost like a sci-fi plot. It doesn’t fit from my lay perspective though. Putins miracle weapons seems like Hitlers - a PR exercise for the masses. The performance of the Russian military has been so pathetic it’s surely caused huge rethinks in many quarters.

jabl 4y ago

> "The Perestroika Deception"[1] in which he says that Perestroika is a strategic retreat because the Soviets know they are too far behind technologically to have any hope of defeating the west. They will however use that retreat to acquire modern technology and improve their economy so they can ultimately conquer the west. Such generations lasting grand conspiracies just sound too fanciful to take seriously. I think the simpler explanation is that, yes, like the communists before him, Putin is a Russian imperialist. And rumor has it that Putin hates the communists with a fiery passion, for screwing up the grand Russian empire. Putin is doing his best to rekindle the empire, just using a more traditional authoritarian/fascist approach rather than relying on communist ideology. Much of the old ways of working, the propaganda, supporting all kinds of nutjob groups in foreign countries, etc etc., 'maskirovka' if you like, dating back to tsarist times, continued through the communist era and is still a tool in the arsenal they use. No change here. As for doomsday weapons with no defense against them, they have existed since the 1960'ies or so in the guise of ICBM's.

somenameforme 4y ago
ICBMs can, at least in theory, be countered by effective anti-ballistic defense systems. The point of the 'tsunami nukes' is to sidestep that defense.
- lostlogin 4y ago
  I think this thing of theirs is supposed to beat the current systems as Mach 10 is fast. It seems to be getting though in Ukraine but I am not an expert and Russia makes all sorts of claims. If it’s weapons work, it would be beating it’s smaller neighbour. https://www.wsj.com/articles/russias-hypersonic-missile-strikes-on-ukraine-raise-stakes-for-new-weapons-ea3b2e15 https://www.wsj.com/articles/russias-hypersonic-missile-stri...
  - narrator 4y ago
    I think Russia knows that this is a war with NATO for world hegemony and it is going to last a very long time. Maybe a decade or more. Thus, what's the best way to conserve resources and deplete the enemy? Just sit in defensive positions with good logistics and shell while the Ukranians send more and more cannon fodder and the west slowly runs out of armaments. Eventually, they'll send the polish recruits. Then they'll send the rest of Europe, and finally American troops. That's why Russia is going slowly here and not getting out over their skis with the advance. I think China was supposed to not back Russia, but they reneged on the deal. That's the critical thing that went wrong with the western war effort and why Russia's economy did not collapse as was expected.