The parent didn't say everyone would get their money back. It said the friend who took a seed-stage investment will likely get most of their money back. I don

The parent didn't say everyone would get their money back. It said the friend who took a seed-stage investment will likely get most of their money back. I don't know the odds of that (most uncertain about the amount of money involved) but it's definitely much higher than "everyone gets all of their money back".