Even the probabilities are somewhat bullshit. 50% confidence on intelligence? How was that number calculated? Someone definitely pulled that number out of thei

Even the probabilities are somewhat bullshit. 50% confidence on intelligence? How was that number calculated? Someone definitely pulled that number out of their ass. I actually think the words like "unlikely" better convey the reality of the assessment. Numbers imply calculation. But no such calculation is even possible given the nature of qualitative information.