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The author is forgetting one important thing: innovation. You can't really predict what is going to be discovered and utilized in the future.
by magic_hamster 4y ago
The author is forgetting one important thing: innovation. You can't really predict what is going to be discovered and utilized in the future.
- mettamage 4y agoChatGPT feels like a good example, I think 6 months ago that those who weren't in the know would be able to predict something like that. I know I wouldn't be able to, and I even build some small neural nets for fun and read Neural Networks and Deep Learning [1]. I am by no means an expert in the field, but I know some basics and have programmed in all kinds of languages, watched 2 Minute Papers quite a bit and yet I didn't see this coming at all. http://neuralnetworksanddeeplearning.com/ http://neuralnetworksanddeeplearning.com/
- NovaDudely 4y agoThat and stable diffusion. While I am not really excited about either technology use in my personal life, I do understand what a huge leap they are. They are both things that few saw coming in the fashion they did and so quickly. Yes, it took decades of research to get the foundations made and then all just sort of suddenly crystalized into a cogent thing. While there are folks out there who could point back and call it now, a lot of them were just throwing mud at the wall hoping it would stick. Like Jeremy Rifkins predicting stuff like this back in the 90's to put us all out of work by the far off year of 2000. What will be the next big thing? I haven't a clue - few people probably do.
- narag 4y agoAdd to that: known discoveries combined, multiplying their leverage.