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> There is a notion of success ... which I think is novel in the history of science. It interprets success as approximating unanalyzed data. Yes! Yes! Yes! As
by Mattasher 4y ago
> There is a notion of success ... which I think is novel in the history of science. It interprets success as approximating unanalyzed data.
Yes! Yes! Yes! As I've been arguing for years, we've already plucked the low-hanging fruit of science. The vast majority of additional progress will have to be made by using what are essentially black box models, and the proof of a good model will be how well it approximates new data, not how nice the mathematical equation looks or how well it can be explained intuitively.
- ChatGTP 4y agoWe’ll that’s what you’re hoping for. However I think this is why self-driving cars aren’t necessarily going so well. In some ways they are, in other ways they fail catastrophically. Maybe statistically the self driving cars are better performers but form a product perspective, having a failure mode of death or serious injury isn’t a good thing. The black box has failure modes we don’t understand, like crashing into fire trucks. So black boxes are good for experiments, but please don’t hook up the black box to a nuclear missile solo, or airplane cockpit just yet thanks.