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There are many, but the biggest one is just that the possibility space is vast and unknowable and while drawing a line straight through it to AI doom is of cour
by AnIdiotOnTheNet 4y ago
There are many, but the biggest one is just that the possibility space is vast and unknowable and while drawing a line straight through it to AI doom is of course possible it doesn't say anything at all about likelihood, and it can't. It makes a ton of assumptions and expects everyone to just go along with them to reach its desired conclusion.
AI certainly has risks, I don't think any reasonable human being doubts that, its just that the AI doom cult seems to think the worst outcomes are near certainties without really backing that up.
- JohnPrine 4y ago> AI doom cult seems to think the worst outcomes are near certainties without really backing that up What are you basing this on? There have been tons of arguments written about why these worst outcomes are likely. Read Bostrom's Superintelligence for example, or Yudkowsky's Intelligence Explosion Microeconomics.
- AnIdiotOnTheNet 4y ago> What are you basing this on? Many conversations with AI doomers. They gloss over and make assumptions about intelligence that aren't really backed by priors and when this is pointed out they hand wave and say "but computer". > Read Bostrom's Superintelligence for example, or Yudkowsky's Intelligence Explosion Microeconomics. I don't really have any interest in doing so, and if I'm honest have a particularly unfavorable read of Yudkowsky as a person based on his cultish following.