Well, we're past the asteroids, at least. [1] The AIpocalypse seems incredibly unlikely. I'm a lot more worried about the nukes, and even if we end up with rob

Well, we're past the asteroids, at least. [1] The AIpocalypse seems incredibly unlikely. I'm a lot more worried about the nukes, and even if we end up with robotic overlords, I'd bet they'll be a whole lot better at administration than meat -admins have proven. I'm with you on engineered superviruses. Feasible, likely, and incredibly high impact. What I kind of keep coming back to is the risk profile of all this stuff. That magic vector of likelihood * impact. Global warming is happening now. And it's real bad - worse than I think we give it credit for. What I worry about is that we're the proverbial frog in the pot. Things get just slightly hotter each year, so we'll miss it when we actually boil. 1 https://www.google.com/search?q=double+asteroid+redirection+test https://www.google.com/search?q=double+asteroid+redirection+...