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Yeah, I can't really argue against the whole idea. My "P(doom)"(language from the article), at least as related to agentic AI, is pretty low. About 7 or 8 perce
by Vecr 4y ago
Yeah, I can't really argue against the whole idea. My "P(doom)"(language from the article), at least as related to agentic AI, is pretty low. About 7 or 8 percent before I die, and I'm not really old. There's probably not a lot I could do about it anyway, given that most AI jobs are alleged to just make it worse. That said, I can't really go around telling people with different numbers they should be working on antiviral research or physical manufacturing, just because I (personally, without their massive and cohesive "evidence" (i.e. gamed out scenarios) bases) think that's more important.
- vcxy 4y ago"Roll a D20 and if you get 1 humanity as you know it will be destroyed in your lifetime" seems bad. Why do you consider 7 or 8 percent low?
- Vecr 4y agoI'm not one of those "all value in the universe" people, P(doom) for me does not have to be that bad. I would actually consider the inability to manufacture or unwillingness to manufacture certain things at scale in the US to count. Generally, my point is that agentic AI is not something I can really do much about, and other things have a combined P(doom) probability higher than it. The unwillingness in certain groups to use what they consider to be toxic or "forever" chemicals in the manufacture of physical products at scale that can make them world a better and less fragile place is something that could be worked in instead.
- HDThoreaun 4y ago7 or 8 percent chance of apocalypse is low?