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It might seem 'absurd' now, but these things happen: http://lesswrong.com/lw/j1/stranger_than_history/ http://lesswrong.com/lw/j1/stranger_than_history/ and htt
by tmelot 15y ago
It might seem 'absurd' now, but these things happen:
http://lesswrong.com/lw/j1/stranger_than_history/ http://lesswrong.com/lw/j1/stranger_than_history/ and http://lesswrong.com/lw/j4/absurdity_heuristic_absurdity_bias/ http://lesswrong.com/lw/j4/absurdity_heuristic_absurdity_bia... are 2 excellent reads.
Historically crying out, "That's absurd!" has ruled out actual outcomes. It has done worse than maximum entropy.
So now it might seem prohibitive, but it might be common place before you know it.