> The only reason PRC would invade Taiwan is if Washington started installing ICBM silos there. That would be too late, by definition, for China to invade. The

> The only reason PRC would invade Taiwan is if Washington started installing ICBM silos there. That would be too late, by definition, for China to invade. The US would likely be very wary of letting their missiles fall into enemy hands. The PRC don't have a huge amount of time to take Taiwan. Their median age at 2020 was 37.5, their projected median age in 2030 is 42.7. For every two years that passes, their current demographic trajectory suggests their median age will grow by 1 year. Unless they wish to fight an "old man" war, with all the societal tensions that arise from essentially sending the only grandchild of four grandparents to their death+, then the PRC need to hurry up and take Taiwan to allow them the force projection into the deep pacific. Otherwise the Chinese century will be delayed another 100 years (or probably longer). +Or the only great-grandchild of eight great-grandparents