I didn't downvote, but I think your comment doesn't object to the idea that it's just not simple to determine what policies worked. You could probably find an a

I didn't downvote, but I think your comment doesn't object to the idea that it's just not simple to determine what policies worked. You could probably find an asterisk to put next to any state (based on age, density, data quality, etc, etc). And that's before you even try to measure the negative effects of lockdown against the positives in your analysis. I think it's important that every new policy is looked at critically, even if it was created under duress and with good intentions.