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This post makes a good point, in particular that one generation’s house price appreciation (really, land rent and price appreciation) is the next generation’s s
by yonran 4y ago
This post makes a good point, in particular that one generation’s house price appreciation (really, land rent and price appreciation) is the next generation’s shelter price inflation. And the obvious solution is higher land taxes and more incentives to construct new housing.
However, I would add nuance that using the word “investment” as synonymous with price appreciation is only partly true because any investment’s value comes from capital gains or dividends. And I dispute his claim that if buying is a good investment, then prices need to increase faster than inflation (although expected rent growth due to supply restrictions may be priced in in the example of Littleton, CO). A house can be both affordable to all generations and a good investment, just as a laptop or a pickup truck or any capital good can be both broadly available and a good investment. You buy a car instead of leasing it because it is a good investment even though it depreciates and even though there is a healthy market of auto leases. Kevin Erdmann has a clear-eyed series on the role of landlords even in a healthy housing market, which is much like the role of lessors of any capital good https://www.mercatus.org/economic-insights/expert-commentary/homeowners-make-best-landlords https://www.mercatus.org/economic-insights/expert-commentary...
The key variable that he is forgetting in the nytimes rent calculator is rent inflation. In almost any market, there will be rental investors, and that’s a good thing; otherwise you would not be able to rent a house. What really matters for the long-term health of the country is making sure that rents don’t increase (YIMBYism) and turning inevitable central city rents into public goods (Georgism).