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It's a complex topic, even details are left out in this long form article. 1. In our highly financialized society, and with many of us essentially worshipping
by maerF0x0 4y ago
It's a complex topic, even details are left out in this long form article.
1. In our highly financialized society, and with many of us essentially worshipping money, it first needs to be said that not every choice needs to be financially optimal to be the best choice for your life. Buying a home is not just a financial choice, but a lifestyle change. They work with different units so the math cannot cross over, save for maybe considering comparable goods/utility in an economic sense (what else could you do with the same financial outcomes, which do you prefer)
2. Buying a house comes as a mix of rarifying asset, high value depreciating good, and liability. The land in a growing city is increasingly becoming rare (like the art example in the article), a depreciating house (eg, depreciate your roof over 20 yrs, your hot water tank over 5-10 etc), and a liability -- you now have to pay HOA + taxes on the value of the property until disposed of. (And note the steep exit fee that using a realtor costs. That significantly eats into your appreciation)
3. Because your house's rental market value is roughly proportional to it's underlying asset value, the more your house appreciates, the more marginal opportunity you give up by living in it. That is, you essentially are consuming the rental value of the house as a lifestyle choice -- that's essentially the definition of a liability, therefore 4.
4. The home you live in is a liability (a recurring cost center and lost opportunity cost, potentially still at net profit after the appreciation of the land), a property you rent out is an income producing asset (potentially still at a loss after expenses).
5. Anecdotally, most people who I have seen swear they made "so much money" on their home are actually failing to do the math well. Total cost of ownership of a home + buy/sell transaction costs + tax burden + maintenance + lost opportunity to invest in other assets has rarely, if ever, been profitable in my maths. Speculating on distressed assets at market bottoms or other contrarian times would be the exception, but that can be very profitable for experts with capital in most any asset market (eg used cars made money for a few years there).
- w10-1 4y ago"It's a complex topic, even details are left out in this long form article" Some summary and factors... Commenters have blamed: - Vetocracy and NIMBYism reducing supply - Federal reserve ownership of banks - "housing cannot be both affordable in perpetuity and a good investment": the myth of a limited resource - "Why is every new house a McMansion?" (Because a bigger thing has fatter margins, so it's beneficial to reduce the supply of smaller things. See cars and computers.) Why fix it? - So I can get a better home (my $300K is not enough for $1.2M houses) - To get homeless people off the street (roughly 0.2% of people) - To get more poor and middle-class people off renting into homes - To reduce the incentives for the wealthy to manipulate the market Correct driving factors: - Mediterranean climate is rare - "Values go up because of density changes related to location desirability" - "You're making a bet that worker productivity will improve near you" Additional amplifying factors: - Home loans are recourse-free: if you go underwater, the bank loses, not you. - Difference in market power between investors and owner-occupiers - Owner-occupiers are forced into a location, and have to buy something (or rent) - The home has to appreciate at a rate higher than the after-tax cost of property taxes - The Republican's recent cap on property-tax deductions made this equation worse - For nice homes, the property taxes alone can be half the median rent - Renting and buying are not perfect substitutes - Most rentals are small, and not in good school districts - Most houses are large, so rents are only sensible for large families or wealthy - Most jurisdictions exempt single-family homes from most restrictions on rentals