Nuclear (mostly) requires megacorp or nation state funding and most players are in an equilibrium for now. Supply chains for nuclear are feasible to detect and

Nuclear (mostly) requires megacorp or nation state funding and most players are in an equilibrium for now. Supply chains for nuclear are feasible to detect and control by existing players who want to keep the equilibrium. When you look at markets with relatively low barriers to entry compared to nuclear with correspondingly high recreational and/or market value - humans have faired far worse at effective prohibitions. Alcohol and other drugs. Illegal porn. Explosives. Sharing copyrighted material. Guns. Buying and selling humans. Cryptography. Etc. Hop on any Silk Road replacement and you’ll find a nice list of failing prohibitions. I do believe AI falls into the bucket of having a feasible black market. The supply chains are hard to detect and control. The cost is relatively low. And both the recreational and market value of it is high. It seems like something humans are going to do at this point regardless of whether it’s sanctioned or not.