> But Chinese rockets hitting Ukrainian kids in Kyiv/Europe? That would trigger dramatic sanctions. I don't think that is priced into the current world stock ma

> But Chinese rockets hitting Ukrainian kids in Kyiv/Europe? That would trigger dramatic sanctions. I don't think that is priced into the current world stock market. Short term this would wreck western economies worse than the 2007 crisis. Long term, it would be the end of China and give a massive boost to western economies. In the mainland it would mean massive stagnation/industry collapse as manufacturing is moved to pro-western southeast Asian countries. Millions of unemployed and unmarried (thanks to out of control population control policies) aggressive young man roaming the country with no hope to emigrate thanks to sanctions. Add food insecurity to the mix, since some countries exporting food to China might re-consider their allegiances not to get sanctioned as well and it would spell disaster for the regime. High net worth individuals getting their foreign assets seized for double allegiance in the west would provide relief to native home buyers and free so much capital to be spent on consumptions good, to soften the blow of higher production costs because of re-shoring.