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It was clear for 2.5/3 years that covid0 was defensible as it enabled most of PRC to operate with relatively little disruption, wasn't until after omicron that

It was clear for 2.5/3 years that covid0 was defensible as it enabled most of PRC to operate with relatively little disruption, wasn't until after omicron that the system became unsustainable. Persisting for another few months _ when able _ to figure things out understandable. It's a luxury other hard lock down countries didn't have, and who didn't pivot, they conceded to living with covid because they simply lacked state capacity to tackle omicron. Difference is PRC did, hence wasting a few months, or buying a few more months of insight, before calculation or reality forced throwing in towel as well. Fairly responsive as far as decision making goes.

kilgnad 4y ago
Not sure why you're downvoted but you're right.
- dirtyid 4y ago
  Analysis goes full stupid when it comes to PRC policies / decision making. Seemed exceedingly rational that something as infectious as omicron was all or nothing containment affair. Just like western mRNA wank despite mRNA failing to prevent spread post delta - their only distinguishing advantage that would have helped buy more time - if worked as advertised but didn't. As if PRC would spend months and billions to vax population on political unreliable western vax for what, a few % better severe case protection among high risk elderly. Or build up reserves of expensive paxlovid when to be blunt, that's luxury reserved for high income countries. The most prudent thing to do in lieu of omicron spreading to point that required massive lockdowns after dynmamic clearing couldn't contain was simply to abandon covid0 enmass - what everyone else did. I suppose people expected PRC could have done some sort of measured transitioned, which itself is recognition of PRC state capacity, but by my assessement is that's throwing good money after bad. CCP gambled a few months to see if dynamic clearing had a chance, it didn't, next best thing was just to live with omicron as fast as possible.

kilgnad 4y ago

Not sure why you're downvoted but you're right.

dirtyid 4y ago
Analysis goes full stupid when it comes to PRC policies / decision making. Seemed exceedingly rational that something as infectious as omicron was all or nothing containment affair. Just like western mRNA wank despite mRNA failing to prevent spread post delta - their only distinguishing advantage that would have helped buy more time - if worked as advertised but didn't. As if PRC would spend months and billions to vax population on political unreliable western vax for what, a few % better severe case protection among high risk elderly. Or build up reserves of expensive paxlovid when to be blunt, that's luxury reserved for high income countries. The most prudent thing to do in lieu of omicron spreading to point that required massive lockdowns after dynmamic clearing couldn't contain was simply to abandon covid0 enmass - what everyone else did. I suppose people expected PRC could have done some sort of measured transitioned, which itself is recognition of PRC state capacity, but by my assessement is that's throwing good money after bad. CCP gambled a few months to see if dynamic clearing had a chance, it didn't, next best thing was just to live with omicron as fast as possible.