> My general take on successful people giving advice is to ask yourself "how reproducible is this?". When the advice hinges on a unique set of circumstances tha

> My general take on successful people giving advice is to ask yourself "how reproducible is this?". When the advice hinges on a unique set of circumstances that you can't reproduce, then they are likely giving you their lottery ticket. Otherwise you might want to listen more closely. I think this is tricky - advice can be reproducible within a limited environment, but still be fragile. For example, extremely risky real estate investing can work within a market cycle. But if you try to bridge cycles without consolidation, you're going to be in for a bad time.