2 ms·
Self-driving is not going to be better than the average driver for a long time. But 2 things. 1) average doesn't matter. There's unlikely to be extremely bad
by onlyrealcuzzo 4y ago
Self-driving is not going to be better than the average driver for a long time.
But 2 things.
1) average doesn't matter.
There's unlikely to be extremely bad self-driving cars.
2) the road & nature of transportation will adapt to self-driving cars so that they don't need to be as good as they need to be on current roads, and eventually it won't matter (but that's like 20 years in the future).
If you would've looked at cities when the car was invented, you'd have thought that cars would never catch on. Cities adapted to the car. They'll adapt to self-driving. But it's going to take a long time.
- slackdog 4y ago> 2) the road & nature of transportation will adapt to self-driving cars Are you kidding? Most of this country can barely keep potholes patched for the benefit of regular cars. Proposing major infrastructure spending to accommodate luxury car features is surely a joke.
- onlyrealcuzzo 4y agoThe cool things is, you don't have to spend tons of money [=
- smileysteve 4y agoThere's the average driver paying attention. And then there is the average driver being distracted -- by cell phone, by alcohol, by passengers in the car, from road rage. Frankly, the average IQ is 100; self driving should be able to surpass that in reaction time, physics (following distance), and legality; so I think it's likely 75% better than than the average driver. But 100% better than the 50% that are distracted.
- rootusrootus 4y agoYou're throwing out a lot of numbers, can you back them up? There's an old joke that something like 75% of drivers think 75% of everyone else is a bad driver. This is just a demonstration of perception. It only takes one bad driver per lane to really screw up traffic. The correct answer is that the vast majority of drivers are quite competent, but you don't notice them.
- smileysteve 4y agoThese were nhsta survey numbers https://www.driveresearch.com/market-research-company-blog/car-driving-stats/ https://www.driveresearch.com/market-research-company-blog/c... https://www.valuepenguin.com/drinking-habits-survey#under-influence https://www.valuepenguin.com/drinking-habits-survey#under-in... Here are some others https://www.driveresearch.com/market-research-company-blog/car-driving-stats/ https://www.driveresearch.com/market-research-company-blog/c...
- slfnflctd 4y agoIt's still not clear to me why there hasn't been more discussion about dedicated lanes and roadside sensors to make self-driving safer & more reliable. Even if the tech grows significantly in capability, the unpredictability of other drivers and the ways snow affects roads seem to me to make these kinds of assists necessary.