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Surely anyone familiar with software engineering knows that the finish line is reached when the finish line is reached. And no sooner. Physicists at the beginn
by Jevon23 4y ago
Surely anyone familiar with software engineering knows that the finish line is reached when the finish line is reached. And no sooner.
Physicists at the beginning of the 20th century also thought that the finish line of physics was in sight and all that remained was tightening a few constants. Look how that turned out.
- gfodor 4y agoThis perspective is too reductionist - we make predictions of success all the time based on first principles reasoning. It’s perfectly sane to try to predict, and make good arguments, if AGI is possible to achieve without new breakthroughs.