Trump winning can happen in a model that gives him a 30% chance and a model that gives him a 5% chance. What was odd was seeing fans of Nate Silver point out th

Trump winning can happen in a model that gives him a 30% chance and a model that gives him a 5% chance. What was odd was seeing fans of Nate Silver point out the former, but then trying to say that his model was better because it gave Trump a higher probability of winning (or even saying Sam Wang's model was terrible for having Clinton's chance in the high 90's). That could be the case, but it's not necessarily the case, for the exact reasons they just stated.