> Further, certainly "low confidence" doesn't imply that the inverse conclusion is likely true. Not by the strictest definition of "likely", no, but it certain

> Further, certainly "low confidence" doesn't imply that the inverse conclusion is likely true. Not by the strictest definition of "likely", no, but it certainly does imply there's a high enough likelihood of spreading from the wild that a lab leak isn't conclusive. It's not meaningless nor even "relatively meaningless": it's just very difficult to tell where a given virus came from unless there's a smoking gun, and any conclusion in any direction is going to be shaky.