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As Scott Alexander at ACX recently said: "AGE OF MIRACLES AND WONDERS: We seem to be in the beginning of a slow takeoff. We should expect things to get very st
by A_D_E_P_T 4y ago
As Scott Alexander at ACX recently said:
"AGE OF MIRACLES AND WONDERS: We seem to be in the beginning of a slow takeoff. We should expect things to get very strange for however many years we have left before the singularity. So far the takeoff really is glacially slow (everyone talking about the blindingly fast pace of AI advances is anchored to different alternatives than I am) which just means more time to gawk at stuff. It’s going to be wild."
Any model even just one or two orders of magnitude more powerful than ChatGPT is going to make for a wild future. 10^6x is hard to imagine. And the implications for the philosophy of mind are staggering.
- throwuwu 4y agoIt always seems slow until you’re on the right hand side of the elbow
- sdwr 4y agoThese are the days of miracle and wonder This is the long-distance call The way the camera follows us in slo-mo The way we look to us all
- r9295 4y agoGod, I love Paul Simon
- uejfiweun 4y agoGradually, then suddenly.
- nirav72 4y agoWhen I read words like singularity or AGI..is when I know we’re at peak hype and correction is coming. I just hope its not another AI winter. Because I’d still like to see this area continue to grow.
- nojvek 4y agoThe advances every week in papers in models, more TFLOPs per dollar per GPU, larger datasets, more VC billions being invested, more humans tinkering. It’s definitely going to be wild next decade. AI superiority is now a nation race like being first to moon, first nuclear bomb. Whoever cracks it gets many trillions added to their GDP.
- tim333 4y agoIt's hype for decades until it happens and then not so much. (https://waitbutwhy.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Intelligence2.png https://waitbutwhy.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Intelligen...)