The preferred establishment picks still have to win. Biden didn't do well in Iowa in 2020, though potentially because Biden's Iowa campaign was run very poorly

The preferred establishment picks still have to win. Biden didn't do well in Iowa in 2020, though potentially because Biden's Iowa campaign was run very poorly. [1] On the other hand if a primary chooses a candidate that ultimately produces a winner in the general election, they probably should go first the next time. Iowa didn't vote for Bill Clinton in 1992. But as it was for Biden, it was after Iowa where Clinton got momentum (in Clinton's case Georgia). [2] [1] https://www.politico.com/news/2020/02/05/biden-campaign-staff-firing-iowa-110874 https://www.politico.com/news/2020/02/05/biden-campaign-staf... [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1992_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1992_Democratic_Party_presiden...