3 ms·
exactly! It's a version of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inclusion%E2%80%93exclusion_principle https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inclusion%E2%80%93exclusion_pr...
by colmanhumphrey 4y ago
exactly! It's a version of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inclusion%E2%80%93exclusion_principle https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inclusion%E2%80%93exclusion_pr...
- tunesmith 4y agoDon't know if you're still reading this thread, but one thing I'm stumped on is that if I plug in 8.333 instead of 9, I get a probability of around 65%. If I plug in 7, I still get a probability of above 50%, which seems to conflict with the 8.333 answer calculated upstream. Wouldn't a positive EV imply that a 50% probability is the break-even?