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> But from the way it's built and trained, it's not like there's even any kind of factual confidence level you could threshold, or anything. The concept of fact
by mochomocha 4y ago
> But from the way it's built and trained, it's not like there's even any kind of factual confidence level you could threshold, or anything. The concept of factuality doesn't exist in the model at all.
I'm not super familiar with ChatGPT internals, but there are plenty of ways to tack on uncertainty estimates to predictions of typical "large scale ML models" without touching Bayesian stuff (which only work for small scale academics problems). You can do simple parametric posteriors estimation or if all you have is infinite compute and don't even want to bother with anything "mathy", bootstrapping is the "scalable / easy" solution.
- pavon 4y agoSure, but would that uncertainty estimate measure the accuracy of the data or the accuracy of it being a reasonably sounding sentence.
- alfalfasprout 4y agoThe latter. Which is why it wouldn't work.