4 ms·
There's a lot of scary numbers, but here's a graph of the US budget deficit as a percentage of GDP[1] according to the CBO. Yes, the US has a deficit most years
by SilverBirch 4y ago
There's a lot of scary numbers, but here's a graph of the US budget deficit as a percentage of GDP[1] according to the CBO. Yes, the US has a deficit most years, and yes both the financial crisis and COVID lead to very large dficits. But between 1992 and 2000 a deficit of 4.5% became a surplus of 2.3%. So it's well within the possible to decrease the deficit by 7% of GDP over a relatively short period of time. If we started that process today we'd be back to the long term average deficit within 8 years - and we're starting from a crazy base because of all the hangovers of COVID.
So whilst it's obviously a policy choice whether that happens, it's definitely well within the possible.
[1]: https://www.cbo.gov/publication/58268 https://www.cbo.gov/publication/58268
- MuffinFlavored 4y ago> If we started that process today But we're not, right? Not only are we not doing that, we're nowhere close to that? We're still on tracking to collect roughly the same in taxation (leaving loopholes open for corporations on purpose) and spending more than ever (growing every year).
- ashwagary 4y agoEven worse, $19T added to the debt is an extreme lowball by some expectations. Many estimates put the US national debt closer to $90T by the end of the decade. The country is right on the edge of walking into one of the most expensive wars in its history as well as a few delayed economic disasters that would kick the money printer into much higher gear. Trump adding $10T+ in a relatovely uneventful 4 years even before the massive inflation spike hit should give you an idea how quickly diminishing returns on QE can escalate spending.