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>Since records have been kept, the presidential candidate who raises the most cash has won 94% of the time. Correlation is not causation...I'd expect the candi
by endtime 15y ago
>Since records have been kept, the presidential candidate who raises the most cash has won 94% of the time.
Correlation is not causation...I'd expect the candidate best at winning elections also to be the candidate best at raising money almost all the time.
- rcfox 15y agoTo be fair, he didn't imply a causation.
- endtime 15y agoI think he did, given that he was answering the "Why?" which referred to a claim of logical necessity: "The President needs to raise upwards of $1,000,000,000."
- redthrowaway 15y agoBoth are true. The candidate most likely to win will raise the most money, and the candidate who raises the most money will be most likely to win. Positive feedback loops are not a logical fallacy.
- wisty 15y agoMore cynically, companies donate hoping to recoup the favor. They don't donate to a candidate unless they think there's a good chance the candidate will be in a position to pay back the favor.