3 ms·

Low probability, as in 10^-43%: we know pretty much the story that happened after the first 10^-43 seconds [1], and we know the universe became transparent afte

Low probability, as in 10^-43%: we know pretty much the story that happened after the first 10^-43 seconds [1], and we know the universe became transparent after circa 300,000 years post Big Bang. The oldest known galaxy was GN-z11, ~400 milion years post Big Bang, by JWST the oldest is JADES-GS-z13-0, ~325 million years post Big Bang. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_early_universe#Grand_unification_epoch https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_early_universe...

hypertele-Xii 4y ago
Seems incredible hubris to think we can reverse-calculate to 14 billion years ago with sub-second accuracy when science can't even predict if it'll rain tomorrow.
- ly3xqhl8g9 4y ago
  Seems incredible hubris we can write 4 equations [1] and control some kind of switches at 10^-8 meters to multiply matrices and handle decision-making with sub-second (10^-9) accuracy in the "real world" of objects beyond 10^-3 meters. Science can predict if it will rain tomorrow: "[a] seven-day forecast can accurately predict the weather about 80 percent of the time and a five-day forecast can accurately predict the weather approximately 90 percent of the time." [2] Feel free to hubristically read articles such as Cosmic Evolution of Viscous QCD Epoch in Causal Eckart Frame [3] and tell us all where they are wrong. An introductory article into cosmology and inflationary theory [4]. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maxwell%27s_equations#Macroscopic_formulation https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maxwell%27s_equations#Macrosco... [2] https://scijinks.gov/forecast-reliability https://scijinks.gov/forecast-reliability [3] https://inspirehep.net/files/b54851f57716f3e8fb650bc1c057ba15 https://inspirehep.net/files/b54851f57716f3e8fb650bc1c057ba1... [4] https://cds.cern.ch/record/1059055/files/p197.pdf https://cds.cern.ch/record/1059055/files/p197.pdf

hypertele-Xii 4y ago

Seems incredible hubris to think we can reverse-calculate to 14 billion years ago with sub-second accuracy when science can't even predict if it'll rain tomorrow.

ly3xqhl8g9 4y ago
Seems incredible hubris we can write 4 equations [1] and control some kind of switches at 10^-8 meters to multiply matrices and handle decision-making with sub-second (10^-9) accuracy in the "real world" of objects beyond 10^-3 meters. Science can predict if it will rain tomorrow: "[a] seven-day forecast can accurately predict the weather about 80 percent of the time and a five-day forecast can accurately predict the weather approximately 90 percent of the time." [2] Feel free to hubristically read articles such as Cosmic Evolution of Viscous QCD Epoch in Causal Eckart Frame [3] and tell us all where they are wrong. An introductory article into cosmology and inflationary theory [4]. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maxwell%27s_equations#Macroscopic_formulation https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maxwell%27s_equations#Macrosco... [2] https://scijinks.gov/forecast-reliability https://scijinks.gov/forecast-reliability [3] https://inspirehep.net/files/b54851f57716f3e8fb650bc1c057ba15 https://inspirehep.net/files/b54851f57716f3e8fb650bc1c057ba1... [4] https://cds.cern.ch/record/1059055/files/p197.pdf https://cds.cern.ch/record/1059055/files/p197.pdf