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> This tool is going to evolve dramatically over mere months. Why do you say this with certainty?
by marginalia_nu 4y ago
> This tool is going to evolve dramatically over mere months.
Why do you say this with certainty?
- brucethemoose2 4y agoJust assuming the current pace of advancement will continue. Good text and image synthesis were basically impossible 2 years ago, and every time I check up on Github some huge new innovation has come out.
- marginalia_nu 4y agoIs there really a basis for such an assumption? Don't returns tend to diminish with effort, rather than increase?
- brucethemoose2 4y agoBut interest and investment is also increasing exponentially. I've never really seen anything like this before in AI land, even when GANs and such were doing amazing things.
- marginalia_nu 4y agoWe have seen this level of rapid development and massive hype in AI before. Several times, in fact. Check it: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_winter https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_winter
- squeaky-clean 4y agoTechnology tends to grow with a sigmoid curve. Extremely fast growth at the start, and then it slows down and eventually plateaus and new technology repeats the cycle. The only question is where on the curve are we for LLMs and AI in general?
- marginalia_nu 4y agoI see this sigmoid growth prediction quite often. What is the basis for assuming it will follow this shape? What are some examples of this happening?