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I remember reading Age of Spiritual Machines -- which I guess was published in early 1999, and thinking there is zero chance in 2019 that we would have computer
by xt00 4y ago
I remember reading Age of Spiritual Machines -- which I guess was published in early 1999, and thinking there is zero chance in 2019 that we would have computers that could even get close to passing the Turing test or behaving like ChatGPT does now. Sure does it "exceed" human intelligence -- sorta / sorta not with large error bars -- but yea his method to use exponential curves as a guiding force for multiple technologies for all of these changes definitely has proven to get a ton of things right.
- AndrewKemendo 4y agoKurzweil was the guy that turned me into a techno-maximalist, for better or worse I'm leaning toward worse at this point, and even though he might be off with the precision, his trajectory is really good for AI specifically. I think for bio stuff he doesn't really live up to his hype - I remember being hype about respirocytes after he spoke about them at an event way back in 2005 or so.