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> Bailout? Why? Because it's not just these "rich" landlords/investors that lose their money. They are pension funds, retirement funds, Teachers retirement fund
by swatcoder 4y ago
> Bailout? Why? Because it's not just these "rich" landlords/investors that lose their money. They are pension funds, retirement funds, Teachers retirement funds, public service funds, your neighbors' annuity, etc.
And why did those socially vital funds invest in a boom/bust industry? Oh, because bailouts will protect them during the bust. Like free insurance. Whee.
What could go wrong with a feedback loop baked into the economy?
- bcrosby95 4y agoThe biggest trick the rich pulled on the wider public is getting them financially invested in the same things they are. In a democracy, what better way is there to guarantee that your losses will be socialized than giving the masses a financial interest in your losses being socialized?
- cjrp 4y ago> And why did those socially vital funds invest in a boom/bust industry? Presumably because that's the only way they could generate the returns needed to fund the pensions?
- jessaustin 4y agoPut another way, they pretended to fund pensions by purchasing securities that were cheaper than actually funding pensions.
- cjrp 4y agoI'd be interested to see the breakdown of a pension fund; is it sustainable with "safer" investments, what sort of margin is the pension fund owner making, etc. I have no real idea.
- voisin 4y ago> And why did those socially vital funds invest in a boom/bust industry? Because retirees like when their funds earn more than T-bills and actually beat inflation and that entails taking risks. Otherwise everyone can work a hell of a lot longer.
- pipodeclown 4y agoWhy are you guys talking about a bail-out? Is there any talk of that? Not as far is I know... As far as I've seen that only happens when there is a systemic/ high contagion risk...
- fragmede 4y agoRisk involves, well, risk. If commercial real estate is too big to fail, and provides better returns than bonds, then it seems like we've broken something.
- swatcoder 4y agoBut that’s the point. They didn’t take a risk pursuant to their upside expectation. They exploited an implicit insurance policy that mitigates their downside with other people’s money through bailouts. “Beat the market” on the upside, “take from everyone” on the downside. Win win!
- Arnt 4y agoBecause real estate has a real component. Those houses exist, and will stay there, for much longer than the boom/bust cycle. Pension funds are long-term entities. Compared to, say, shares or bonds issued by a consumer electronics company, or a cosmetics company, the real part of real estate is much bigger.