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I think one can reasonably draw three regions on the spectrum; at the extremes, either safe enough to build without thinking hard, and dangerous enough to not b
by theptip 4y ago
I think one can reasonably draw three regions on the spectrum; at the extremes, either safe enough to build without thinking hard, and dangerous enough to not build without thinking hard.
Many LessWrong folks are in the latter camp, but some are in the middle; believing in high rewards if this is done right, or just inevitability, which negate the high risks.
Personally I think that from a geopolitical standpoint this tech is going to be built regardless of safety; I’d rather we get some friendly AGIs built before Skynet comes online. There is a “power weight” situation where advanced friendly AGI will be the only way to defend against advanced unfriendly AGI.
Put more simply, even if I assess the EV is negative, do I think the EV is less negative if I build it vs. US/Chinese military?