Well, at least know we have a benchmark where we can test it. Imagine it at 20% being accurate, being confident while not knowing anything about the subject etc

Well, at least know we have a benchmark where we can test it. Imagine it at 20% being accurate, being confident while not knowing anything about the subject etc. Do we have a reasonable argument why it can't be 40% in the next 6 months, 80% a bit later and keep improving? There are so many experiments going on, also with tools that we use to gather accurate information. I don't see a reason why it can't get better.