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The AI Safety folks have already written a lot about some of the dimensions of the problem space here. You're getting at the Tool/Oracle vs. Agent distinction.
by theptip 4y ago
The AI Safety folks have already written a lot about some of the dimensions of the problem space here.
You're getting at the Tool/Oracle vs. Agent distinction. See "Superintelligence" by Bostrom for more discussion, or a chapter summary: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yTy2Fp8Wm7m8rHHz5/superintelligence-15-oracles-genies-and-sovereigns https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yTy2Fp8Wm7m8rHHz5/superintel....
It's true that in many ways, a Tool (bounded action outputs, no "General Intelligence") or an Oracle (just answers questions, like ChatGPT) system will have more restricted avenues for harm than a full General Intelligence, which we'd be more likely to grant the capability for intentions/thoughts to.
However I think "interests, thoughts, feelings" are a distraction here. Covid-19 has none of these, and still decimated the world economy and killed millions.
I think if you were to take ChatGPT, and basically run `eval()` on special tokens in its output, you would have something with the potential for harm. And yet that's what OpenAssistant are building towards right now.
Even if current-generation Oracle-type systems are the state-of-the-art for a while, it's obvious that soon Siri, Alexa, and OKGoogle will all eventually be powered by such "AI" systems, and granted the ability to take actions on the broader internet. ("A personal assistant on every phone" is clearly a trillion-dollar-plus TAM of a BHAG.) Then the fun commences.
My meta-level concern here is that HN, let alone the general public, don't have much knowledge of the limited AI safety work that has been done so far. And we need to do a lot more work, with a deadline of a few generations, or we'll likely see substantial harms.
- arcanemachiner 4y ago> a trillion-dollar-plus TAM of a BHAG Come again?
- rippercushions 4y agoTotal Addressable Market (how much money you could make) of a Big Hairy Ambitious Goal (the kind of project big tech companies will readily throw billions of dollars at)
- hef19898 4y agoI remember a time, when advice to prospective start-up founders very explicitly said not to use that approach to calculate potential market sizes in their pitch decks.