This isn't actually an elm post or a functional post although I know "a little" about that specific topic. All new industries or genres or fads or anything rea

This isn't actually an elm post or a functional post although I know "a little" about that specific topic. All new industries or genres or fads or anything really, go thru rapid growth of small players which get gobbled up into a couple giant monoliths as time goes on, which makes them really slow, which allows distruptive newcomers to arrive eventually (although not yet in this case). So about five years ago I remember a study of the then new-ish functional front end project repos on Github and there were only 25x as many scala repos as elm and about 15x as many haskell repos as elm. So without knowing anything about the techs or even talking about the techs you know as rapid growth ends and consolidation begins that elm's going to disappear because its simply too small. Every 2018 elm project converting to scala before 2023 would just be a decimal place in scala or haskell numbers. For another example see the auto industry. A century before "the big three" there were hundreds of small car companies. All gone!