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If you re-read what you have written and try to detach your thinking from the various polemics of how bad lockdown is... "Exponential spread is no longer a thi

If you re-read what you have written and try to detach your thinking from the various polemics of how bad lockdown is... "Exponential spread is no longer a thing." -- Clearly wrong. Every time a +ve person breathes out on a bus, in a pub, at the office, exponential spread is occurring. The only difference is that many of those people had a recent immune event (a booster or recent infection) and suppress it immediately, or if it has been some time, they get a COVID infection and their T cell response kicks into action and suppresses it. People can have multiple infections per year. People with weakened immune systems will still get very sick. Because it is still propagating with new variants there is still the potential for significant widespread waves of illness. It might be very important to be able to issue Paxlovid or something similar to everyone who is sick, or even give it a prophylaxis to e.g. cancer patients.

rossdavidh 4y ago
In the literal sense, exponential spread _of Covid-19_ is clearly no longer a good description in the US (or many other countries). It may describe the spread of new variants, but the impact on most people of getting the latest variant of covid-19 is about like the impact of getting the latest variant of influenza (which can kill you, but normally does not). The number of people with covid-19 is not going exponentially up, as it once was, it is now coming in waves that are probably never going to reach the peak of the initial Omicron. Now, literally speaking, every new variant of covid-19, influenza, or any cold virus is obviously going to be exponential (and half of the time, exponential decay). But the population is no longer "immunologically naive", in western countries.