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In a randomly sampled million individuals, what's the probability of any of them surviving another day? The gambler fallacy talks about a gambler who has won a
by akomtu 4y ago
In a randomly sampled million individuals, what's the probability of any of them surviving another day?
The gambler fallacy talks about a gambler who has won and believes that the cause that made him win is long lasting. But a living man is right to believe that he is alive due to forces that have a lot of momentum and won't vanish suddenly. The fallacy would be assuming that the man is exempt from accidents, that are unpredictable.
- hackernewds 4y agoThe fallacy is that assuming someone who has lived longer already has a greater chance of staying alive. which is clearly wrong?