3 ms·
Gambler's fallacy
by tspike 4y ago
Gambler's fallacy
- skeaker 4y ago"Okay, wow. You don't want me to kill you because you have so much to live for? Umm, sunk cost fallacy, heard of it?"
- brookst 4y ago“No, no, I have an MBA, I’d never fall for sunk cost. I’m all in on the ‘I’ll travel the world and do all the crazy fun stuff after I retire’ fallacy.”
- akomtu 4y agoIn a randomly sampled million individuals, what's the probability of any of them surviving another day? The gambler fallacy talks about a gambler who has won and believes that the cause that made him win is long lasting. But a living man is right to believe that he is alive due to forces that have a lot of momentum and won't vanish suddenly. The fallacy would be assuming that the man is exempt from accidents, that are unpredictable.
- hackernewds 4y agoThe fallacy is that assuming someone who has lived longer already has a greater chance of staying alive. which is clearly wrong?
- deleted 4y ago[deleted]