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> Here are a few things we all know are true: > Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016 thanks to a huge increase in anti-immigrant sentiment > Nobody was wor
by phnofive 4y ago
> Here are a few things we all know are true:
> Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016 thanks to a huge increase in anti-immigrant sentiment
> Nobody was worried about climate change in the 1990s, but now lots of people are freaking out about it
> Mass shootings have led to a spike in support for gun control
That's not my common understanding for any of these things, though they sound like forgotten hot takes from the perpetual news cycle. None of them even make sense.
- phnofive 4y agoThe rest of the article is about how people's estimates of polls diverge from those same polls, but not why. Were people better at estimating polls or national sentiment thirty years ago?
- willcipriano 4y agoA few things changed. Pollsters realized that polls can impact the result of a election, people who lean for a particular candidate can be pushed over the edge with a poll that shows that candidate winning. Half the country has been classified as deplorable and have learned to not express how they feel to others, it shows up at the ballot box but you don't see it when you survey.
- ecf 4y ago> it shows up at the ballot box but you don't see it when you survey. Does it really? Last Republican President to win the popular vote was 30 years ago. Longer than I’ve been alive…