the market can be misestimated without any screw up. it's hard not to not screw up, the information you need is too diffuse. How will the Apple CEO predict how

the market can be misestimated without any screw up. it's hard not to not screw up, the information you need is too diffuse. How will the Apple CEO predict how many new cars will be sold next year when the auto CEOs don't know? Apple needs to know because how many new cars will be sold is a really indicator of how much working people have as disposable income, and especially autoworkers, and if you can afford a new car, you'll probably upgrade your cellphone. (and so on for other sectors, agriculture, insurance, etc.) It's amazing how well the world economy works most of the time given that everybody is flying by the seat of their pants. if one tech CEO screws up (Zuckerberg with Meta?) you can see it. But when the whole sector screws up it's a pretty good sign something macro is taking place.