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Could anything other than China invading Taiwan precipitate war between the US and China? I doubt it (though sure, 'accidents' could happen given the current le
by UncleOxidant 4y ago
Could anything other than China invading Taiwan precipitate war between the US and China? I doubt it (though sure, 'accidents' could happen given the current level of bellicosity). However, if China does invade Taiwan the whole economic argument seems to go off the table from the US perspective because Taiwan's fabs crank out the majority of the world's most advanced chips - ie. that act of invading Taiwan would in itself do a lot of damage to the world economy were it to happen within the next couple of years (before other fabs currently under construction come on line in 2 or 3 years).
But then again, China has to know the stakes and the response (both economic and military) that would come to bear against them should they invade Taiwan.
- moose_man 4y agoIn a crisis spiral into war, I think the last thing that will be considered are chips or economics. It's often emotion that pushes everything over the edge. It's not a logical process. Nationalism is a force that operates on its own set of rules.