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What I don't understand is why Thought leaders like Stratechery didn't see this coming? Did they ever write about these "4 horsemen" before these recent events?
by FlyingSnake 4y ago
What I don't understand is why Thought leaders like Stratechery didn't see this coming? Did they ever write about these "4 horsemen" before these recent events?
If not, they seem to fall under the category of IYI which NNTaleb talks about.
- karaterobot 4y agoDid you verify that he said he didn't predict this? It looks like he says he pretty much did predict most of these things in previous articles. The fourth one in particular is basically just a rehash of a previous article he wrote. And certainly many pundits have predicted a tech recession for a long time. If anything, it's the safest thing to predict, because there will always be one coming in the future.
- ghaff 4y agoThere was a pretty widespread belief that there was going to be a "new normal." And, while I'm not sure that's totally incorrect, it's mostly in relatively subtle ways and I'm not sure typical consumer behavior has really changed all that much.
- everybodyknows 4y ago"IYI"?
- SmellyPotato22 4y ago"intellectual yet idiot" a term from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Skin_in_the_Game_(book) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Skin_in_the_Game_(book)
- deadso 4y agoIYI: Intellectual, yet idiot NNTaleb: Naseem Nicholas Taleb