> The fertilizer shortage is caused by the war in Ukraine. The war certainly exacerbated the issue, but there were already fertilizer supply issues before. I r

> The fertilizer shortage is caused by the war in Ukraine. The war certainly exacerbated the issue, but there were already fertilizer supply issues before. I remember well purchasing my 2022 crop year fertilizer in December 2021, which is earlier than I normally get around to it, but was prompted to because the prices had already risen substantially by that time and were predicted to go even higher (which they did). War in Ukraine didn't break out for at least another month after that. Not so much COVID directly, but natural gas prices were a large component, seeing fertilizer plants go offline in the mid-2021 timeframe[1]. [1] https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/16/business/natural-gas-prices-britain-fertilizer.html https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/16/business/natural-gas-pric...