Yes these are huge numbers, but quantities associated with physical space (# of objects) are nothing compared with quantities in combinatorial spaces (# of poss

Yes these are huge numbers, but quantities associated with physical space (# of objects) are nothing compared with quantities in combinatorial spaces (# of possible 256 bit passwords or # of possible games of chess). It seems plausible that getting the sustained chain reaction of life going in a soup of organic molecules and not immediately interrupting it may be at least as unlikely as randomly guessing a 256 bit password, in which case it will certainly never have happened a second time in the volume of space time we call the “observable universe”.