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2.1 is steady state of just one for one replace those dying with new people. What numbers around 1.0 are are logarithmic decline as the population functionally
by Fordec 4y ago
2.1 is steady state of just one for one replace those dying with new people.
What numbers around 1.0 are are logarithmic decline as the population functionally keeps halving which is also hard to plan an economy around paying for two old people and child on the taxes per single worker.
- csdvrx 4y agoThen maybe the welfare state is no longer suited to the country population profile, and each person show be saving for their own retirement and children?
- Fordec 4y agoThat's what people do, but to do so they need to work in growth industries and geographies. Otherwise you don't make enough to do just that. Thus they go somewhere that does, in this case Tokyo mostly. Which makes the situation worse for the prefectures that they leave causing brain drain, and now those that stayed need to have the taxation to cover for the two they were already on the hook for, and now the two that the person gone to individualistically "save for their own retirement". This generally leads to services and infrastructure getting shut down. Not more stuff spread out to less people because certain modern lifestyle features, things like hospitals, need a minimum level of patients and experts to function well above zero.
- Tiktaalik 4y agoa very good plan right up until you fall off a ladder
- klipt 4y ago> each person show be saving for their own retirement Saving where, the stock market? I wouldn't be surprised if a shrinking population means a shrinking stock market too.
- Thorrez 4y agoYou can save money but what are you going to do with it? If there aren't enough young people providing the goods and services the retired people need in retirement, the prices of those goods and services will skyrocket and many who saved won't be able to afford the goods and services.
- mantas 4y agoAutomation will help with that. Growing salaries for those fewer young people would help too. For example to buy real estate that'd get cheaper. There's always someone else on the other end of „afford the goods and services“.
- tlb 4y agoSaving doesn't solve the problem. In fact, no re-allocation of money would provide a good standard of living with only a small young population to do all the work while a large old population consumes.