>I haven't seen that prediction. Take your pick: https://nickbostrom.com/papers/survey.pdf https://nickbostrom.com/papers/survey.pdf https://aiimpacts.org/20

>I haven't seen that prediction. Take your pick: https://nickbostrom.com/papers/survey.pdf https://nickbostrom.com/papers/survey.pdf https://aiimpacts.org/2022-expert-survey-on-progress-in-ai/ https://aiimpacts.org/2022-expert-survey-on-progress-in-ai/ https://research.aimultiple.com/artificial-general-intelligence-singularity-timing/ https://research.aimultiple.com/artificial-general-intellige... https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/7JxsXYDuqnKMqa6Eq/ai-timelines-where-the-arguments-and-the-experts-stand https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/7JxsXYDuqnKMqa6Eq/... https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/ https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-... https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hQysqfSEzciRazx8k/forecasting-thread-ai-timelines#Top_Forecast_Comparisons https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hQysqfSEzciRazx8k/forecastin... >What I have seen is "AGI is 2 years out", and I have been seeing that for 4 years. We obviously don't travel in the same circles because I don't know anyone credible saying that.