Just to give concrete recommendation re: bayesianism (one kind of what he calls probabilistic rationalism), it specifically might be worth dipping into his meta

Just to give concrete recommendation re: bayesianism (one kind of what he calls probabilistic rationalism), it specifically might be worth dipping into his metarationality writings here: https://metarationality.com/probabilism-applicability https://metarationality.com/probabilism-applicability