3 ms·
The number of stars in the observable universe is really big, but perhaps not as big as you are thinking. Wolfram Alpha gives it as 10^24, which seems like a
by LarryMullins 4y ago
The number of stars in the observable universe is really big, but perhaps not as big as you are thinking. Wolfram Alpha gives it as 10^24, which seems like a ludicrously huge number. But suppose for the sake of argument that intelligent human life on Earth were the consequence of just five independent "one in a million" chances. That's 1 in 10^30. Just five independent "one in a million" hurdles to clear makes intelligent life unlikely to occur anywhere in the universe at all.
Now consider that advanced human life took a very long time to develop on Earth, even after multicellular life took off, which itself took a very long time to happen. Assuming that evolution inevitably converges onto something like humans is anthropocentric. It may be the case that life is reasonably common but intelligent life such as us is an absurdly rare fluke of luck.
- encoderer 4y agoThe sun is apparently 4.6 billion years old, but the Milky Way is 3x that. Hominids for 6 million years? It’s not just about looking back in time, which our telescopes are pretty great at, but observing the place at the right slice of time which becomes much harder. We see proxima b as it was ~4 years ago. That star system might be 6 billion years old. What if their extinction event was 50 million years ago? Or 500 million? Or 3 billion?