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There's a small factual error here, Brooks says Artemis II will launch in May 2004, while Artemis III will land on the Moon in 2025. According to NASA's Inspec
by idlewords 4y ago
There's a small factual error here, Brooks says Artemis II will launch in May 2004, while Artemis III will land on the Moon in 2025.
According to NASA's Inspector General [1], Artemis II can launch no sooner than 27 months after Artemis I, which would push the mission into 2025. Similarly, the Inspector General believes the first Moon landing can come no sooner than 2026. [2]
Note also that this Moon landing depends on a completely untested technology (in-orbit fuel transfer); the landing craft will require 4-8 additional launches to top off its tanks. [3]
Personally, I would be shocked to see a lunar landing before 2027. There are just too many things that would have to go right on the first try to make a 2026 deadline.
[1] https://oig.nasa.gov/docs/MC-2022.pdf https://oig.nasa.gov/docs/MC-2022.pdf
[2] https://www.space.com/artemis-moon-landing-likely-slip-to-2026 https://www.space.com/artemis-moon-landing-likely-slip-to-20...
[3] https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1425473261551423489 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1425473261551423489