> I, like most people in Taiwan (including the usa consulate staff), believe the possibility of invasion is slim. There’s a paradox here. The more everyone bel

> I, like most people in Taiwan (including the usa consulate staff), believe the possibility of invasion is slim. There’s a paradox here. The more everyone believes this, the worse the preparations are and the more likely invasion becomes. For instance, the RoC Army doesn’t have enough soldiers or the right equipment and pretty much everyone is ok with this because hey, possibility of invasion is slim. They prioritise buying vanity hardware like fighter planes instead of weapons that fit a porcupine strategy like Javelin missiles. (Porcupines don’t attack but defend really well). You correctly point out that guerrillas can fight the PLA thanks to terrain. But that would be more realistic if they had a large supply of Javelins.